The war won't be decided on either side running out of manpower. Russia took like 200K casualties by now, meaning both dead and wounded. But they can potentially loose millions.
But they also lost a lot of weapon systems. They just hit more than 4K tanks and 4K artillery both.
They were estimated to have 10K tanks before the war. That's also with tanks from almost wwII and stuff that has been stored outside for decades so barely useless. Some of the old junk is usefull though. An outdated shell still explodes and kills people if you get hit.
Anyway, when you loose 4K tanks in 14 months or fighting, you're going to have a problem when you hit 10K tanks lost - in like two years from now. The same goes for artillery and so on.
So quite simply, in a couple of years Russia's stock will be depleted. There's already signs this is happening, because they're taking like 60 years old tanks out of storage.
Then it comes down to "can Russia produce enugh new tanks to beat Ukraine on equiptment".
Which is the same as asking "can Russia with 140 milion population outproduce the countries with more than one BILLION combined population that is giving stuff to Ukraine." (And that on top of having like 900 million more people also are way more developed economically.)
Quite obviously, they cannot do that. It's simply impossible for Russia to win.
The war ends when Russia runs so low on military gear like tanks, helicopters, artillery, that they can't even control the country.
It will take a couple of years probably.
But they also lost a lot of weapon systems. They just hit more than 4K tanks and 4K artillery both.
They were estimated to have 10K tanks before the war. That's also with tanks from almost wwII and stuff that has been stored outside for decades so barely useless. Some of the old junk is usefull though. An outdated shell still explodes and kills people if you get hit.
Anyway, when you loose 4K tanks in 14 months or fighting, you're going to have a problem when you hit 10K tanks lost - in like two years from now. The same goes for artillery and so on.
So quite simply, in a couple of years Russia's stock will be depleted. There's already signs this is happening, because they're taking like 60 years old tanks out of storage.
Then it comes down to "can Russia produce enugh new tanks to beat Ukraine on equiptment".
Which is the same as asking "can Russia with 140 milion population outproduce the countries with more than one BILLION combined population that is giving stuff to Ukraine." (And that on top of having like 900 million more people also are way more developed economically.)
Quite obviously, they cannot do that. It's simply impossible for Russia to win.
The war ends when Russia runs so low on military gear like tanks, helicopters, artillery, that they can't even control the country.
It will take a couple of years probably.
